SharpeMoney data / midterm election years, 1950–present
Every midterm year, and what actually happened next
Nineteen election cycles. Every one saw a real drawdown before November, and every one recovered. This is the underlying data from the video, built so you can check any year yourself instead of taking my word for the average.
−16.2%
average drawdown, start of year to Election Day
+18.8%
average return, the 12 months after Election Day
19 / 19
midterm years with a drawdown — no exceptions since 1950
Select a year
← → or clickView the full data as a table
| Year | Low date | Drawdown | Return, next 12mo |
|---|